An ancient
system. In ancient times the monetary system was
fairly informal. It was comprised of moneychangers who worked
with merchants operating in a given trading region. The
moneychangers were illegal in some places, but where trade
thrived, they were present. During the Roman Empire, the
use of coin spread rapidly, in no small part because people
needed money with which to pay their taxes, but also as
an effect of the Empire’s economic integration. As
Rome grew more powerful, and more people used its currency,
the Empire looked quite like a trade bloc with a single
currency.
Coins and paper in Medieval Europe. It
wasn’t until the 13th century that gold coins, like
those minted in Rome, were used across much of Western Europe.
But by this point there were all kinds of gold coins: florins
from Florence, sequins and ducats from Venice, and so on.
Silver coins were also common in everyday use, as were copper
coins. This heady mix of monies was the basis of international
settlements. Coin would flow into nations who sold more
than they bought or who borrowed more than they lent, and
would flow out of countries that did the reverse. Paper
currency—which were more like checks or IOUs, usually
offered at a discount, representing a claim to a certain
amount of precious metal—developed as moneychangers
became lenders and depositories of precious metal, and people
began to recognize the inconvenience of carrying around
heavy metal coins.
Advent of the gold standard. In the late
19th century the gold standard really took hold in Europe
and the United States. Its origins were in the Napoleonic
wars earlier that century. At that time, the Bank of England
printed lots of pound notes to finance war efforts; but
that left the Bank and the British government in a sticky
position: far more pound notes would be in circulation than
the Bank could actually redeem in gold at the given price.
Fearing a run on the Bank’s gold supplies—since
the pound notes were no longer fully backed—they suspended
the pound’s gold convertibility. But, as we might
expect, these policies weakened the pound’s value,
leading to higher prices and inflation. So after the wars,
the men of Parliament (mostly landowners and merchants hurt
by inflation) sought to prevent further erosion of their
money’s value. They passed laws that made the pound
fully convertible into gold at a specified rate. By 1821,
England was on the gold standard; by 1880 most other nations
had followed suit, and the international gold standard was
officially in place.
Gold, along with silver, functioned as the international
store of monetary value until the beginning of World War
I. At that time, the gold standard was abandoned, primarily
because nations needed deficit financing for the war, which
increased the amount of paper money in circulation beyond
nations’ gold reserves.
After WWI. After the war many countries
let their currencies float (that is, fluctuate in value
against each other and gold), but in looking forward to
the return of the gold standard, tightened their monetary
policies and supply of money in the 1920s. By doing this,
central banks sought to strengthen their currencies so that
when they went back on the gold standard, they could maintain
the prewar currency-gold exchange rates. These “deflationary”
policies—so named because they increased the value
of currency, rather than decreasing it, as “inflationary”
policies do—did strengthen currencies; but they did
so at the cost of sending the economies of Europe and America
into severe recession and contributing to the great depression.
High interest rates, caused by a smaller supply of money
in circulation, and increasing money values did mean lower
prices; but lower prices were a disaster for businesses
(individuals) who owed money: the value of their debts increased
while the price of their goods (the value of their wages)
decreased. Unemployment and bankruptcies soon followed.
To put it another way,
the basic idea was that, after the War, nations began printing
money to pay for the War. They soon had more of their money
in circulation than they had in gold to back its value at
the official “gold” price (they really had no
choice given the War), so the gold standard fell apart.
After the War, nations expected gold to return as the standard.
Wanting their currency to be strong (worth lots of gold)
they pursued policies to limit the amount of their money
in circulation, which caused deflation (lowers prices and
wages)—and lower prices can be a disaster for an economy.
Why? If you own a business and prices are falling, covering
your production costs will be nearly impossible. And if
you have debt and your wages are falling, it will be nearly
impossible pay it back. This is why there were so many business
failures and foreclosures during the Great Depression.
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***Tip
Box: Confused by inflation/deflation?
Inflation means higher prices, which means your money
doesn’t go as far and is consequently “worth”
less.
Deflation means lower prices, which means your money
goes further and is consequently “worth”
more.
But if you incur a debt during a period of normal
rates or inflation, and must pay it back during deflation,
you have fewer dollars to pay back what you owe and
consequently a greater chance of failing to pay your
debts.
Prices in an economy are basically a relationship
between the amount of stuff an economy produces and
the amount of money in circulation. For example, suppose
your economy made 10 widgets and there were 10 dollars
of money in circulation. The price of a widget would
be 1 dollar (units of money / units of widgets). Now
suppose that you decided try to make your economy
richer by printing and additional 10 units of money,
giving you a total of 20. In the long–run, the
only effect such an increase in your money supply
would have is to double the price of your widgets.
In other words, printing money does not make you richer—it
merely creates inflation, which makes the individual
units of your money worth proportionally less. So
how would you make your economy richer? Improve your
productivity and make more widgets… (Sound familiar?)*** |
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WEBSITE: For more detailed information
on this period of the history of the exchange rates visit:
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
Conflict
& Cooperation (1871–1944)
Advent of the dollar standard. The initial
return to the gold standard, then, was not a happy one.
Indeed, some economists have suggested that the international
community’s insistence on conformity to the old gold
parities was a principle cause of the rise of German fascism
and World WarII. So, after the war, when the world returned
to gold, it did so under the auspices of the Bretton Woods
agreements, which also established the World Bank and International
Monetary Fund.
Essentially, these agreements put the world on a dollar
standard, and the US on a gold standard. That is, currencies
other than the dollar had to be maintained in a certain
trading range with respect to it (the dollar), and the US
agreed to change dollars for gold at $35 per ounce—for
foreign central banks only, not the public. The IMF was
the central bank for central bankers, providing foreign
currencies to intervene in foreign exchange markets. But
US monetary policy guided the international financial system.
WEBSITE: For more detailed information
on this period of the history of the exchange rates visit:
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
Destruction
& Reconstruction (1945–1958)
The impact of the US’s role. This arrangement
worked throughout postwar rebuilding and the emergence of
Japan as an economic power into the late ’60s and
’70s, in part because most of the developed world
was happy to follow the dictates of US monetary policy.
That was true until the late 1950s, when the needs of the
system grew as countries began to trade more freely. In
the early ’70s, after the US had pursued inflationary
monetary policy for a decade (to fund the Vietnam War and
Lyndon B. Johnson’s Great Society programs), the primary
contradiction in this system became evident. Since the world
was on a dollar standard, US policy increasingly drove world
economic growth. And for the world to grow, the US had either
to lend more than it borrowed, or buy more than it sold
abroad. There had to be an increase in the supply of dollars
to the rest of the world. In other words, expansionary monetary
policy—which stimulates growth—could only be
provided by the US.
By definition, however, expanding the US money supply undermined
the value of the dollar against all of the currencies that
were pegged to it. So, to keep the dollar from depreciating,
the Bretton Woods system required the world’s central
banks to intervene in the foreign exchange markets and buy
up dollars. Eventually, however, there were a lot more dollars
floating around than the US Federal Reserve and Treasury
could convert into gold at $35 an ounce. In 1973, with the
world’s central banks—which had accumulated
vast supplies of dollars—questioning the US’s
commitment to buy back dollars for gold, the US ended dollar
gold convertibility. And with the dollar no longer backed,
central banks, naturally, stopped supporting its value,
leaving exchange rates to freely float.
WEBSITE: For more detailed information
on this period of the history of the exchange rates visit:
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
The
System in Crisis (1959–1971)
VIDEO: Money Used
to be Backed by Gold, Now It’s Backed by God
The managed-floating currency system. Since
then, the world has worked on the managed-floating currency
system, which has had mixed results, but has been critical
to international integration. The task in this era has been
to stabilize this system, whose volatility increased markedly
in the ’80s and ’90s, particularly among fragile
developing nations, whose economies often flourished or
fell on the success or failure of a single market. For this
a number of things—often variations on the old fixed-rate
system—have been tried: exchange rate and “crawling”
rate pegs, currency boards, and dollarization, to name a
few. It is difficult to generalize about the results, since
these currency arrangements often stand or fall on other
macroeconomic policies—and on the policies of the
IMF. Suffice to say that, although theory tells us that
free monetary and capital mobility might be optimal, the
globalized world is still working to make the most out of
second-best alternatives.
WEBSITES: For more detailed information
on this period of the history of the exchange rates visit:
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
Reinventing
the System (1972–1981)
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
Debt
& Transition (1981–1989)
Money Matters: An IMF Exhibit—The Importance of Global
Cooperation:
Globalization
and Integration (1989–1999)